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The U.S. President announced a temporary suspension of reciprocal tariffs, but still imposed a 145% tariff on mainland China, while China retaliated with a 125% tariff. The chairman of the Financial Information Media Group pointed out that the second chapter of the Sino-U.S. power struggle is the defense of U.S. national debt.
The chairman of the Financial Information Media Group pointed out that Trump's tariff war has already reached the limit. Now, even if the tariffs are increased, it is just to create momentum. The exports of both sides will freeze, and the ports will be filled with goods that cannot be shipped, and the impact on the stock market has been weakened. The new battlefield is the bond market.
The chairman of the Financial Information Media Group pointed out that the yield on the latest 10-year government bonds once rose to 4.592%, and the yield on 30-year government bonds also once broke 5%. This time, Trump's tariff war has been temporarily suspended, which is the pressure on the bond market. The defense of the bond market in the coming week will be the focus. The U.S. national debt is 36 trillion U.S. dollars, with 9.2 trillion U.S. dollars maturing this year, and 6.5 trillion U.S. dollars maturing in June, which is Trump's current dilemma. Trump's biggest goal in taking tariffs to the extreme is to improve the huge U.S. debt, but it is difficult to solve decades of chronic problems in such a short time.
The chairman of the Financial Information Media Group said that this time, the U.S. stock market has evaporated 18 trillion U.S. dollars in market value. According to Trump's calculations, the debt can increase by 600 billion U.S. dollars a year, and the stock market's decline in market value alone would take 30 years of tariffs. If Trump had not announced a 90-day grace period on the 9th, it would have been a full collapse of the stock, bond, and currency markets, and the U.S. hegemony would also be shaken.
The chairman of the Financial Information Media Group pointed out that the surge in bond yields is a warning signal. The chairman of the Financial Information Media Group pointed out that China's holdings of U.S. bonds have been reduced from 1.3 trillion U.S. dollars to 706.8 billion U.S. dollars, but is the proportion still high? Foreigners hold 8.5265 trillion U.S. dollars of U.S. bonds, accounting for 8.29%. If China sells off its U.S. bonds in a short period of time, the bond market may be greatly affected, and this needs to be observed in the future.
The chairman of the Financial Information Media Group pointed out that another is gold, silver, or Bitcoin. Recently, gold rose to 3,237.93 U.S. dollars, which seems to have Chinese buying, but gold is not large in scale and cannot fully meet China's demand. Bitcoin is the same. China's foreign exchange reserves are 3.2 trillion U.S. dollars. What new allocation will appear in the future? It is worth paying attention to.
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